Saturday, September 27, 2008

US Election

Just what the Bush government tried to avoid, an economic collapse just before the election, has taken place. Let's take a look at the odds of the candidates with the bookies (bookmakers). I have never trusted polls, BUT the bookies I trust, because they have to put their money on the line. If they make a wrong judgement in giving you better odds, they lose a lot of money. They have their OWN money on the line.

How to interpret the images below:
Red line: McSame
Blue line: Obamania

Vertical axes: odds
Money the bookmaker will give you when you bet 1 dollar on the candidate.
Example: 2.5/1: Bookie will give you 2.5 dollars for every 1 dollar bet.

The lower this number, the higher the odds that candidate is going to win according to the bookies.
The higher that number, the lower the odds that candidate is going to win according to the bookies.

Overview ALL bookmakers combined odds 6 months


Overview ALL bookmakers combined odds 14 days



If you bet 100 dollars on McSame now, and he wins you get 300 dollars back. (profit 200%, $200)

If you bet 100 dollars on Obamania now, and he wins you get 155 dollars back.(profit 55%, $55)

Which means at this time the bookies think that there is a 1/5 chance that McSame will win and a 4/5 chance that Obamania wins.

LINK

114 days left and the worst president ever who totally destroyed the economy, the dollar, the status of the USA abroad, the civil rights, ...will have to go. THANK GOD!

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